President Donald Trump has warned American farmers that his escalating tariff policies will disrupt their markets and urged them to prepare for increased domestic sales.

“To the Great Farmers of the United States: Get ready to start making a lot of agricultural product to be sold INSIDE of the United States. Tariffs will go on the external product on April 2nd. Have fun!” Trump posted on social media in March, heightening tensions in the ongoing trade dispute.

Trump, who has called “tariff” the most beautiful word in the dictionary, rushed after his return to power to make tariffs a central pillar of U.S. economic policy, unveiling an escalating levy against America’s major trading partners.

Soybeans are expected to be among the hardest-hit commodities in the Chinese market, mirroring the fallout from Trump’s first trade war. The Midwest states of Iowa, Illinois, and Minnesota — leading soybean producers — collectively sold about $12.8 billion worth of soybeans to China in 2024. That figure is now at risk due to Beijing’s retaliatory measures.

“Farmers are frustrated. Tariffs are not something to take lightly and ‘have fun’ with,” Caleb Ragland, president of the American Soybean Association and a soy farmer from Magnolia, Kentucky, said in a statement.  

“Not only do they hit our family businesses squarely in the wallet, but they rock a core tenet on which our trading relationships are built, and that is reliability”, Ragland said.

Ragland noted that soybeans — America’s top export crop — are particularly vulnerable to trade disruptions with China, their largest market, and that many producers still haven’t fully recovered from the damaging effects of the 2018 trade war, which will only deepen their economic challenges.

“We know foreign soybean producers in Brazil and other countries are expecting abundant crops this year and are primed to meet any demand stemming from a renewed U.S.-China trade war.”



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Mónica Cordero writes for Investigate Midwest. She is a Report for America corps member and part of the Mississippi River Basin Ag & Water Desk team. Her expertise includes data analysis with Python...