America’s most farming-dependent counties overwhelmingly backed President-elect Donald Trump in this year’s election by an average of 77.7%.
Trump has appeared on three presidential ballots, beginning in 2016. In 2020 and 2024, he increased his support nationwide, topping 50% in this year’s popular vote.
However, Trump also increased his support this year among farming-dependent counties by nearly two percentage points compared to 2020.
Farming-dependent counties are defined by the USDA as counties where 25% or more of average annual earnings were derived from farming, or 16% or more of jobs were in farming.
There are 444 counties labeled as farming-dependent, although hundreds more have strong agricultural economic ties. Other county categories include mining, manufacturing, federal/state government, recreation and nonspecialized, which includes counties that aren’t considered dependent on any of the above categories.
Most farming-dependent counties are in the central United States. Trump won the majority of votes in all but 11 of these counties.
Some political observers questioned whether Trump’s support would wane among farmers after his first-term trade war, which led to increased prices and a drop in agricultural exports. During the campaign, Trump promised a return to high tariffs if given a second term.
“His policies didn’t do us any good; his tariffs didn’t do us any good,” Lance Lillibridge, an Iowa farmer, told Investigate Midwest.
Not only did Trump increase his support among farming-dependent counties, but more than 100 of those counties supported him with at least 80% of their vote.
Trump said he was going after the “worst of the worst,” but many of the people his administration is detaining and deporting have no criminal record. Agricultural employers are scrambling to find reliable replacements.
Consolidation in ag, higher input prices, land access issues and other obstacles are making it hard for young farmers to gain a foothold in U.S. agriculture.
Following years of inaction on the Clean Water for Iowa Act, one lawmaker is looking to advance several smaller bills that would improve monitoring and strengthen permit requirements for large industrial farms.
The analysis of federal price indexes also shows agricultural producers have consistently paid more to operate than they have received in return, with costs outpacing prices in every month since at least 2015.
While ADM admitted no wrongdoing, three former executives, including the chief financial officer, have been named in connection to fraudulently inflating the value of one of its businesses.
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Investigate Midwest, the Arkansas Times, and the Mississippi River Basin Ag & Water Desk will host a live virtual panel examining the impacts on U.S. farmers.
Since 2022, agriculture exports to China have decreased by more than 55%, but there have been increases to Canada, Mexico and some South American countries.
Key trade agreements, the legality of the global trade war, Agri Stats’ antitrust case, more USDA moves, and rulings on dicamba and glyphosate predicted to grab industry headlines.
In late 2022, Archer Daniels Midland’s Fremont, Nebraska, facility experienced a dust explosion. Days later, federal safety inspectors found some areas inside with about an inch of combustible dust — about eight times the acceptable limit.
While the amount of acres of soybeans and corn has remained stable for the past 25 years, the use of pesticides in Illinois has doubled. The state’s oldest trees are getting sick from the drift.
From SNAP benefits to food affordability, immigration policy and farmers struggling to greenhouse gas emissions, the year has been a hot mess for the US agriculture industry.
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GRAPHIC: Trump support grew in America’s top farming counties despite first-term trade war
by Ben Felder, Investigate Midwest, Investigate Midwest November 13, 2024
Ben Felder is Investigate Midwest’s first editor in chief. He was hired in 2023 to cover agribusiness and the meat industry in Oklahoma.
Felder previously worked for The Oklahoman as a political enterprise...
More by Ben Felder, Investigate Midwest
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